
Sunday, February 13, 2011
China's development benefits Southeast Asia

As China's economy grows, concerns are raised about whether it can be sustained

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Summary:
As China prepares to rocket past Japan to become the world's second largest economy, concerns abound in growing economic powerhouse that the growth might not sustainable in the long term and that some people are more equal than the vast majority. Real estate prices are climbing at an incredible rate, with average apartment cost in the industrial city of Wuhan being 29 times the average salary. Wuhan, which is considered to be a fairly average city in China, has a booming economy, with local officials setting a goal for 12% annual growth during the next Five-Year Plan. The massive growth hasn't been without problems though. A grey haze caused by pollution hangs over the city and it is so thick one can't see the other the side when standing at the edge of the Yangtse River, which cuts through the city. Economists voice concerns that the growth maybe unsustainable and could potenially lead to economic collapse. They point out that local officials are more concerned with earning promotion and high growth rates look good. This prompts officials to pursue short term wins by buying up land and building infrastructure, but building up substantial debt in the process. And the officials don't have to worry about long-term consequences because they will likely not be around when the system comes crumbling down. Moreover, the lower rungs of society seem to be left behind as they struggle to support themselves among the rising costs of living. If the bottom falls out of the market, there is going to be a lot of very unhappy people in city of Wuhan and all over China.
Significance:
Wuhan's growth and the concerns voiced by economist represent a common concern throughout China. Despite the rapid fire growth, many in China and around the world wonder aloud whether the exponetial growth can be maintained into the long term. A stagnation of the economy in China would be disastrous and could potenially lead to regionalism and foreign interference, a situation all to familiar to anyone well versed in Chinese history. Time will only tell if China can maintain its unprecedent growth or face the consequences of a economic slowdown.
Chinese Premier Stresses Social Progress

Monday, February 7, 2011
Pandas, please get your Nile Fever immunizations!
This affects domestic issues as a whole, as corruption in government, public discontent, media controls, and even the income gap are all addressed. It also works with Systems Theory, though with an international perspective: included in the input category is now foreign affairs. The stakes however, are different. If the government does not produce an appealing output, then we pandas may get the so called "Nile Fever", and revolt. And trust me. You don't want a panda revolt. They're...revolting. However, it would seem that the threat of a Chinese anti-governmental revolution may be in the minds of many, but very few will dare to stand against the government without any direct form of provocation.
Sunday, February 6, 2011
Guizhou Governor pledges to increase development in the backward province

Guangdong business owners worried about succession

Summary:
The owners of many private businesses are getting close to retirement and there is no one to fill their shoes. Their children don't necessarily want to be part of the business world and so they stray from it. In fact, 40.2% of private company owners in Guangdong sent their children abroad for school. By comparison, only 12.6% of private companies in Guangdong have been taken over by the owner's children. Additional statistics say that 51% of private business owners are afraid their children don't want to carry on the family business and 62% fear their children wouldn't be able to carry it on even if they tried. More than 800,000 private businesses exist but these were largely started in the 1970s and early 1980s so many of these people are now nearing retirement. The new generation doesn't want to have to handle the stress of business circles and this may stem from the fact that many in the new generation have attended college abroad. This schooling began even early for some, as far back as elementary school. There is a sliver of hope though as 13.4% the new generation born under the first generation of private business owners have started their own companies.
Significance:
This is a blow to privatization but it may also be good because the newer generation is bringing western ideas over. The west largely embraces capitalism so children that received their education in foreign lands will likely bring these ideals over to China. This also contributes to globalization a great deal as the new generation will have knowledge of the world far beyond what communist China allows in its schools. In the future this can only lead to becoming more connected with the rest of the world. So although some older businesses may go out of business, this does not mean that the idea of capitalism will end in China. What's more is that we can't expect China to become fully capitalist overnight, and if they did their economy would likely collapse because people would start demanding higher wages. These things need to happen gradually and the opening up policy that was started in the 1970s, combined with this new development, is clear cut evidence of that. Just the fact that there's any private businesses in a communist country is cause for celebration. Britain has one of the freest political systems in the world as a result of gradualism and now China must strive to the become the strongest economy in the world by means of the same process.